A Snapshot Of The Corporate Ratings Distribution For The U.S., Europe, Emerging Markets, And Other Developed Region |
| Publication date: 06-Oct-2011 09:33:57 EST |
The share of global corporate speculative-grade ratings increased to 44.1% at the end of June 2011 from 41.6% one year earlier. As of June 30, 2011, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services rated 2,667 entities speculative grade and 3,379 investment grade. These figures bring the total count of rated entities to 6,046, up by 7% from 5,638 a year ago. Entities based outside the U.S. account for 50.7% of the global ratings population. Globally, the majority of issuers (65.6%) are nonfinancial entities. The share of entities rated 'CCC' and lower as of June 30, 2011, decreased to 2.2% from 3.1% at the same time in 2010. The median rating of all rated entities has remained at 'BBB-' since the second quarter of 2010.
During second-quarter 2011, 15 companies defaulted globally, and the 12-month-trailing speculative-grade default rate was 2% as of June 30. Upgrades surpassed downgrades in the U.S. and emerging markets during the quarter, and the global ratio of upgrades to downgrades was 0.64 to 1. In addition, Standard & Poor's assigned 308 new ratings globally in the second quarter, 35% of which were in the emerging markets. Standard & Poor's withdrew 118 ratings, half of which were in the U.S. For details about Standard & Poor's policy on credit rating assignment, withdrawal, and suspension, please see "Credit Ratings Assignment, Withdrawal, And Suspension Policy," published June 1, 2011, on www.standardandpoors.com.
Chart 1
Table 1
| Issuer Ratings Distribution By Region (%) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. | Europe | Other developed | Emerging markets | Global | ||||||||
| AAA | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | |||||||
| AA | 4.3 | 10.1 | 11.9 | 1.5 | 5.6 | |||||||
| A | 18.6 | 37.8 | 35.8 | 13.5 | 23.0 | |||||||
| BBB | 24.6 | 26.4 | 30.4 | 28.5 | 26.3 | |||||||
| BB | 16.7 | 10.2 | 10.7 | 27.9 | 17.1 | |||||||
| B | 31.9 | 12.8 | 9.9 | 26.2 | 24.8 | |||||||
| CCC and lower | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | |||||||
| Total (count) | 2978 | 1218 | 598 | 1,265 | 6,046 | |||||||
| Median rating | BB+ | BBB+ | BBB+ | BB+ | BBB- | |||||||
| Speculative grade (%) | 51.5 | 24.3 | 21.4 | 55.8 | 44.1 | |||||||
| Data as of June 30, 2011. Includes parent and subsidiary-level issuers. Sources: Standard & Poor's Global Fixed Income Research and Standard & Poor's CreditPro®. | ||||||||||||
Table 2
| Issuer Ratings Distribution By Sector (Issuer Count) | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | B | CCC and lower | |||||||||
| All financials | 43 | 252 | 817 | 529 | 218 | 196 | 22 | |||||||||
| Financial institutions | 34 | 112 | 411 | 339 | 167 | 167 | 17 | |||||||||
| Insurance | 9 | 140 | 406 | 190 | 51 | 29 | 5 | |||||||||
| All nonfinancials | 14 | 89 | 572 | 1063 | 818 | 1304 | 109 | |||||||||
| Auto/capital goods/aerospace/metals | 1 | 9 | 63 | 136 | 124 | 169 | 10 | |||||||||
| Consumer and service | 0 | 10 | 65 | 130 | 103 | 219 | 18 | |||||||||
| Energy/natural resources | 2 | 14 | 52 | 114 | 101 | 141 | 16 | |||||||||
| Forestry, homebuilders | 0 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 54 | 77 | 10 | |||||||||
| Health care/chemicals | 1 | 14 | 44 | 75 | 75 | 177 | 6 | |||||||||
| High technology/office equipment | 2 | 3 | 28 | 38 | 64 | 96 | 1 | |||||||||
| Media and entertainment | 0 | 1 | 7 | 58 | 84 | 180 | 26 | |||||||||
| Real estate | 1 | 1 | 49 | 90 | 62 | 65 | 5 | |||||||||
| Telecommunications | 0 | 4 | 31 | 41 | 41 | 87 | 4 | |||||||||
| Transportation | 6 | 16 | 20 | 62 | 44 | 67 | 9 | |||||||||
| Utility | 1 | 17 | 205 | 274 | 66 | 26 | 4 | |||||||||
| Data as of June 30, 2011. Includes parent and subsidiary-level issuers. Sources: Standard & Poor's Global Fixed Income Research and Standard & Poor's CreditPro®. | ||||||||||||||||
An Increase In U.S. Speculative-Grade Corporate Issuers
Speculative-grade ratings make up 51.5% of U.S. ratings, which is an increase from 50% a year earlier. Of the total, 1,443 are rated investment grade and 1,535 are speculative grade. The total count of U.S. rated entities increased to 2,978 as of June 30, 2011, from 2,846 at the same time in 2010. The majority of U.S. issuers (74.9%) are nonfinancial entities. Financial issuers make up 43.2% of investment-grade companies, and nonfinancial issuers comprise 92.1% of speculative-grade entities. The share of entities rated 'CCC' and lower as of June 30, 2011, decreased to 3% from 4.3% a year earlier. The median rating on U.S. rated entities has been 'BB+' since the third quarter of 2010.
Chart 2
Table 3
| U.S. Issuer Ratings Distribution By Sector (Issuer Count) | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | B | CCC and lower | |||||||||
| All financials | 25 | 98 | 306 | 195 | 51 | 62 | 9 | |||||||||
| Financial institutions | 17 | 30 | 98 | 100 | 26 | 39 | 5 | |||||||||
| Insurance | 8 | 68 | 208 | 95 | 25 | 23 | 4 | |||||||||
| All nonfinancials | 4 | 29 | 249 | 537 | 446 | 888 | 79 | |||||||||
| Auto/capital goods/aerospace/metals | 0 | 2 | 29 | 54 | 80 | 111 | 9 | |||||||||
| Consumer and service | 0 | 5 | 34 | 67 | 62 | 160 | 14 | |||||||||
| Energy/natural resources | 1 | 5 | 30 | 53 | 54 | 93 | 11 | |||||||||
| Forestry, homebuilders | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 43 | 5 | |||||||||
| Health care/chemicals | 1 | 9 | 20 | 42 | 51 | 144 | 5 | |||||||||
| High technology/office equipment | 2 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 44 | 78 | 1 | |||||||||
| Media and entertainment | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 58 | 144 | 24 | |||||||||
| Real estate | 0 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 24 | 16 | 1 | |||||||||
| Telecommunications | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 59 | 1 | |||||||||
| Transportation | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 34 | 8 | |||||||||
| Utility | 0 | 3 | 85 | 169 | 22 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||
| Data as of June 30, 2011. Includes parent and subsidiary-level issuers. Sources: Standard & Poor's Global Fixed Income Research and Standard & Poor's CreditPro®. | ||||||||||||||||
The Median Rating For European Corporate Issuers Decreases A Notch
Standard & Poor's rated 1,218 European issuers as of June 30, of which 922 are investment grade and 296 are speculative grade. In the second quarter, the median rating in Europe changed to 'BBB+' from 'A-'. Speculative-grade ratings make up 24.3% of European ratings, a significant increase from 19.2% a year earlier. The total count of European rated entities increased to 1,218 from 1,132 over the past year. The proportion of issuers rated in the 'AAA', 'AA', and 'A' categories was 49.3% as of June 30, 2011, down 6.1% from 55.4% at the end of June 2010. In contrast, the proportion of issuers in the 'BBB', 'BB', and 'B' categories increased 6.2% to 49.3%.The majority of European issuers (58.5%) are nonfinancial entities. Financial issuers make up 57.5% of investment-grade companies, and nonfinancial issuers comprise 88.2% of speculative-grade entities. The share of entities rated 'CCC' and lower as of June 30, 2011, decreased to 1.3% from 1.5% a year earlier. By country, 18% of European entities are in the U.K., followed by 13% in France and 9% in Germany.
Chart 3
Table 4
| European Issuer Ratings Distribution By Sector (Issuer Count) | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | B | CCC and lower | |||||||||
| All financials | 15 | 99 | 309 | 107 | 21 | 9 | 5 | |||||||||
| Financial institutions | 14 | 52 | 181 | 64 | 15 | 8 | 5 | |||||||||
| Insurance | 1 | 47 | 128 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||
| All nonfinancials | 3 | 24 | 151 | 214 | 103 | 147 | 11 | |||||||||
| Auto/capital goods/aerospace/metals | 0 | 4 | 19 | 39 | 22 | 26 | 1 | |||||||||
| Consumer and service | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 13 | 24 | 1 | |||||||||
| Energy/natural resources | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 3 | |||||||||
| Forestry, homebuilders | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 2 | |||||||||
| Health care/chemicals | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 0 | |||||||||
| High technology/office equipment | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 | |||||||||
| Media and entertainment | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 19 | 1 | |||||||||
| Real estate | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||
| Telecommunications | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 2 | |||||||||
| Transportation | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 1 | |||||||||
| Utility | 1 | 5 | 65 | 46 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||
| Data as of June 30, 2011. Includes parent and subsidiary-level issuers. Sources: Standard & Poor's Global Fixed Income Research and Standard & Poor's CreditPro®. | ||||||||||||||||
Chart 4
The Other Developed Region Has The Largest Proportion Of Investment-Grade Corporate Issuers
Standard & Poor's rated 470 issuers investment grade and 128 speculative grade at the end of second-quarter 2011. The other developed region includes Japan, Australia, New Zealand, and Canada. Speculative-grade ratings make up 21.4% of other developed ratings, the lowest of the four regions we surveyed and a modest increase from 20.9% a year earlier. As of June 30, 2011, Standard & Poor's rated 598 issuers in the other developed region, which is up by 10 over the past year. The majority of other developed issuers (63.5%) are nonfinancial entities. Financial issuers comprise 40.9% of investment-grade companies, and nonfinancial issuers make up 79.7% of speculative-grade entities. The share of entities rated 'CCC' and lower as of June 30, 2011, decreased to 0.8% from 1.9% a year earlier. The median rating on other developed rated entities remains at 'BBB+'. By country, 36% of the rated entities in the other developed region are based in Canada, followed by 27% in Australia and 24% in Japan.
Chart 5
Table 5
| Other Developed Issuer Ratings Distribution By Sector (Issuer Count) | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | B | CCC and lower | |||||||||
| All financials | 1 | 46 | 107 | 38 | 17 | 6 | 3 | |||||||||
| Financial institutions | 1 | 24 | 74 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 2 | |||||||||
| Insurance | 0 | 22 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||
| All nonfinancials | 2 | 25 | 107 | 144 | 47 | 53 | 2 | |||||||||
| Auto/capital goods/aerospace/metals | 0 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 0 | |||||||||
| Consumer and service | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||
| Energy/natural resources | 1 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 13 | 16 | 0 | |||||||||
| Forestry, homebuilders | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 1 | |||||||||
| Health care/chemicals | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||
| High technology/office equipment | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||
| Media and entertainment | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 | |||||||||
| Real estate | 0 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| Telecommunications | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||
| Transportation | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||
| Utility | 0 | 7 | 35 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||
| Data as of June 30, 2011. Includes parent and subsidiary-level issuers. Sources: Standard & Poor's Global Fixed Income Research and Standard & Poor's CreditPro®. | ||||||||||||||||
Chart 6
The Number Of Ratings In The Emerging Markets Continues To Rise
The total count of rated entities in the emerging markets increased to 1,265 from 1,089 over the past year. In the past 15 years, the number of issuer ratings in the region has grown by an average of 16% per year. As of June 30, 558 entities are rated investment grade and 707 are speculative grade. The proportion of speculative-grade ratings in the region increased modestly to 55.9% as of June 30, 2011, from 53.6% a year earlier. More than half of emerging market issuers (56.4%) are nonfinancial entities. Nonfinancial entities account for 65.3% of the speculative-grade-rated issuers in the region, and financial issuers comprise 55% of investment-grade companies. The share of entities rated 'CCC' and lower as of June 30, 2011, decreased to 1.8% from 2.7% a year earlier. The median rating on emerging market entities has been 'BB+' since the fourth quarter of 2006. By country, 14% of rated entities in the emerging markets are based in Mexico, another 14% are in Russia, and 12% are in Israel.
Chart 7
Table 6
| Emerging Market Issuer Ratings Distribution By Sector (Issuer Count) | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | B | CCC and lower | |||||||||
| All financials | 2 | 8 | 103 | 194 | 130 | 111 | 4 | |||||||||
| Financial institutions | 2 | 5 | 59 | 146 | 112 | 106 | 4 | |||||||||
| Insurance | 0 | 3 | 44 | 48 | 18 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||
| All nonfinancials | 5 | 11 | 68 | 167 | 223 | 220 | 19 | |||||||||
| Auto/capital goods/aerospace/metals | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 25 | 0 | |||||||||
| Consumer and service | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 30 | 3 | |||||||||
| Energy/natural resources | 0 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 24 | 3 | |||||||||
| Forestry, homebuilders | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 2 | |||||||||
| Health care/chemicals | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 1 | |||||||||
| High technology/office equipment | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 0 | |||||||||
| Media and entertainment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||
| Real estate | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 47 | 4 | |||||||||
| Telecommunications | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 15 | 1 | |||||||||
| Transportation | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 0 | |||||||||
| Utility | 0 | 2 | 22 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 4 | |||||||||
| Data as of June 30, 2011. Includes parent and subsidiary-level issuers. Sources: Standard & Poor's Global Fixed Income Research and Standard & Poor's CreditPro®. | ||||||||||||||||
Chart 8
| Global Fixed Income Research: | Diane Vazza, Managing Director, New York (1) 212-438-2760; diane_vazza@standardandpoors.com |
| Evan Gunter, Associate, New York (1) 212-438-6412; evan_gunter@standardandpoors.com | |
| Gregg Moskowitz, Associate, New York (1) 212-438-1838; gregg_moskowitz@standardandpoors.com |
No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, model, software or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be modified, reverse engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of S&P. The Content shall not be used for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. S&P, its affiliates, and any third-party providers, as well as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees or agents (collectively S&P Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible for any errors or omissions, regardless of the cause, for the results obtained from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the user. The Content is provided on an “as is” basis. S&P PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS, SOFTWARE ERRORS OR DEFECTS, THAT THE CONTENT’S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED OR THAT THE CONTENT WILL OPERATE WITH ANY SOFTWARE OR HARDWARE CONFIGURATION. In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost profits and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the Content even if advised of the possibility of such damages.
Credit-related analyses, including ratings, and statements in the Content are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions. S&P assumes no obligation to update the Content following publication in any form or format. The Content should not be relied on and is not a substitute for the skill, judgment and experience of the user, its management, employees, advisors and/or clients when making investment and other business decisions. S&P’s opinions and analyses do not address the suitability of any security. S&P does not act as a fiduciary or an investment advisor. While S&P has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, S&P does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or independent verification of any information it receives.
S&P keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to preserve the independence and objectivity of their respective activities. As a result, certain business units of S&P may have information that is not available to other S&P business units. S&P has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of certain non-public information received in connection with each analytical process.
S&P may receive compensation for its ratings and certain credit-related analyses, normally from issuers or underwriters of securities or from obligors. S&P reserves the right to disseminate its opinions and analyses. S&P's public ratings and analyses are made available on its Web sites, www.standardandpoors.com (free of charge), and www.ratingsdirect.com and www.globalcreditportal.com (subscription), and may be distributed through other means, including via S&P publications and third-party redistributors. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees.
Any Passwords/user IDs issued by S&P to users are single user-dedicated and may ONLY be used by the individual to whom they have been assigned. No sharing of passwords/user IDs and no simultaneous access via the same password/user ID is permitted. To reprint, translate, or use the data or information other than as provided herein, contact Client Services, 55 Water Street, New York, NY 10041; (1) 212-438-7280 or by e-mail to: research_request@standardandpoors.com.
Contact Client Services
1-877-SPCLIENT
1-877-772-5436
Call Tree Options
Contact Us







